Forex Goodies

 

Gold
by Alan E. Newman

Not only are we still bullish on the prospects for gold and gold stocks, our outlook has been vastly boosted by the overwhelming optimism shown in recent months. Remember, gold is storming out of a bear market that endured for 21 years. The phrase "pent up demand" applies and in spades, at that. Even when gold bulls measured over 90% and most were calling for a correction on what one would have to admit was a sound contrarian basis, the metal not only remained firm but rose sharply again, until very recently.

There seems to be much more to this market than meets the eye. Despite the many stories in recent weeks about commodity bubbles in oil, metals and particularly gold, we see this interest as a groundswell move, recognition that demand for oil and metals is going to increase quite dramatically in the decade ahead. We believe this recognition is just beginning.

Our inflation adjusted chart clearly illustrates that gold's bull market commenced coincidentally with 911. Some observers have pointed out that the world changed with the terror attacks on the World Trade Center, and it has. But in more ways than one. The Twenty-First Century has brought the Chinese economy into view as a new superpower that will someday easily exceed the influence of the U.S. And where China leads, India will eventually go. Between the two countries, three of every eight people on the face of the planet harbor the same wishes for the same goods and services enjoyed by Americans. The theme for the decade ahead is demand, demand and more demand.